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Two Fintech Stocks Under $5
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The next phase of the enterprise software evolution isn't about chasing trillion-dollar valuations or unproven tech experiments—it is about the quiet, systematic digitization of legacy industries. As financial institutions and enterprise networks rush to integrate automated workflows, the most valuable real estate belongs to the specialized platforms that handle the heavy lifting of transactions, compliance, and customer onboarding.
This is where the software conversation shifts from speculative hype to mission-critical infrastructure. For investors, some of the most compelling opportunities in this space are currently trading under $5—highly integrated businesses that have spent years building deep moats within the financial services ecosystem.
👉 One company is a leading cloud-based application software provider, leveraging AI and advanced automation to streamline the massive, paper-heavy world of consumer lending and mortgage origination.
👉 The other is a specialized payment processing provider, delivering embedded transaction technology that powers high-volume, underserved enterprise markets.
👉 Both platforms trade under $5, are deeply embedded within their respective financial networks, and present significant operating leverage as legacy systems modernize.
In this edition, we break down how Blend Labs, Inc. (BLND) is capturing the digital lending application market with AI-driven automation, and how Repay Holdings Corporation (RPAY) is securing sticky transaction volumes through embedded payment technology—and why both of these under-$5 plays are positioned to thrive as financial infrastructure goes digital.
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Blend Labs, Inc. (NYSE: BLND) is a prominent cloud-based software provider that is actively reshaping the financial services industry through its digital lending platform. Founded to simplify the complex, paper-heavy world of consumer banking and mortgage originations, Blend Labs delivers a seamless, end-to-end digital journey for financial institutions, including blue-chip banks, credit unions, and independent mortgage lenders. By leveraging artificial intelligence and advanced automation, the company's platform enables lenders to process applications faster, lower loan acquisition costs, and provide a modern, consumer-grade experience. As financial institutions face increasing pressure to modernize their legacy systems, Blend Labs occupies a critical niche at the intersection of financial technology and artificial intelligence, positioning itself as an essential infrastructure provider for the future of banking.
Business Model and Revenue Streams 📦
To understand Blend Labs, one must examine its dual-pronged software-as-a-service (SaaS) and transaction-based business model. The company generates revenue primarily through two main segments: its Mortgage platform and its Consumer Banking platform. Unlike traditional enterprise software providers that rely solely on fixed annual licensing fees, Blend Labs employs a usage-based pricing model. Lenders are typically billed based on the volume of completed loan transactions processed through the platform. This aligns Blend's financial success directly with the operational activity of its clients. When mortgage originations or consumer loan volumes rise, Blend's top-line revenue expands accordingly. Conversely, during periods of industry-wide contraction, this model exposes the company to transaction volume fluctuations, making its revenue stream highly sensitive to broader macroeconomic cycles.
The macroeconomic environment plays a defining role in Blend's operational health. Over the past several quarters, aggressive monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve has pushed mortgage rates to multi-decade highs, severely chilling the U.S. housing market and depressing refinancing and purchase mortgage volumes. Because mortgage originations have historically represented the lion's share of Blend's business, these high interest rates have acted as a powerful headwind. However, a highly anticipated Federal Reserve monetary policy pivot and the subsequent stabilization of mortgage rates (noted as a critical catalyst on March 30, 2026) are beginning to ease these pressures. As mortgage rates level off or decline, pent-up consumer demand and refinancing activity are expected to return, providing a direct volume boost to Blend’s core transaction-based revenue engine.
To mitigate this extreme sensitivity to the mortgage cycle, Blend Labs has aggressively pursued a strategy of non-mortgage platform diversification. The company's Consumer Banking suite—which facilitates deposit account opening, credit cards, personal loans, auto loans, and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs)—has become a vital secondary growth engine. Furthermore, Blend is leaning heavily into artificial intelligence to drive higher contract values and stickier customer relationships. The launch of its Autopilot platform (with a major catalyst milestone on June 20, 2026, centering on Non-Mortgage Platform Diversification & AI Autopilot Traction) represents a paradigm shift. By integrating AI-driven automated workflows, Blend enables financial institutions to deploy autonomous AI agents capable of handling complex lending tasks, verifying documentation, and answering borrower queries without human intervention. This AI-centric approach not only increases the value proposition of Blend's software but also shifts the revenue mix toward higher-margin, value-added technology services that are less dependent on raw mortgage transaction volumes.
Recent Performance and Corporate Developments 📈
Blend Labs has demonstrated resilient operational execution in a challenging mortgage market, as evidenced by its financial results for the latest reported quarter ended March 31, 2026 (calendar Q1 2026). During this period, the company succeeded in growing its top line despite ongoing macroeconomic headwinds, driven by market share gains and the expansion of its consumer banking and AI-enabled offerings.
Q1 2026 Financial Highlights: 💰
- Revenue: $30,843,000, representing a solid year-over-year growth rate of 15.21% compared to the same period in the prior year.
- Net Loss: $8,049,000, reflecting the company's ongoing efforts to streamline operations and narrow its losses as it marches toward profitability.
- EPS (Earnings Per Share): -$0.05 per share, which beat internal guidance ranges and demonstrated disciplined cost management.
- Year-over-Year Revenue Growth: 15.21% overall, driven by strong adoption of both mortgage and consumer banking solutions.
- Average Trading Volume: 2,733,926 shares, indicating robust liquidity and active institutional interest in the stock.
Strategic Initiatives and Mergers: 🤝
While there are no recent formal mergers to report for Blend Labs, Inc., the company has been highly active on the partnership, integration, and product development fronts, which serve as organic growth catalysts. On June 16, 2026, Blend announced an expanded integration with MeridianLink Mortgage, MeridianLink Consumer, and DecisionLender. This expanded partnership allows financial institutions to seamlessly connect Blend's front-end digital origination platform with MeridianLink’s robust loan origination and decisioning systems, significantly reducing friction for mutual bank and credit union clients. Additionally, on May 19, 2026, the company highlighted a major operational milestone with CrossCountry Mortgage (CCM), one of the nation's largest independent mortgage lenders. By utilizing Blend’s platform, CrossCountry Mortgage successfully cut its loan closing times by more than half, showcasing the tangible ROI and efficiency gains that Blend's technology delivers to enterprise customers.
On the product innovation front, Blend made a major technological leap on May 4, 2026, with the launch of the Autopilot Model Context Protocol (MCP) Server. This pioneering initiative opens up Blend’s proprietary lending platform to financial institution-built AI agents. By providing an open-source standard for AI integration, Blend allows banks to build and deploy their own custom AI agents directly within the secure, compliant Blend ecosystem, accelerating the adoption of autonomous workflows in banking. Furthermore, on April 30, 2026, the company secured a new partnership with Northfield Savings Bank to power its next phase of lending growth, reinforcing Blend's strong market penetration among regional and community financial institutions. While investment banking analysts have flagged Blend as a potential target in recent fintech M&A watch lists (such as reports on June 9, 2026, discussing potential consolidation in the sector), management remains focused on executing its standalone growth strategy.
Profitability and Fair Value 🎯
Blend Labs is currently on a clear, structured path toward profitability, though it remains in the growth-and-transition phase. For the latest reported quarter ended March 31, 2026, the company reported a net loss of $8,049,000. While still in the red, this net loss represents a significant narrowing compared to previous fiscal years, driven by aggressive cost-reduction measures, operational efficiencies, and a migration toward higher-margin software revenue. The company’s ability to exceed its own Q1 guidance ranges indicates that management's fiscal discipline is bearing fruit. However, because of this net loss, Blend Labs currently posts a negative trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio of -77.78. Consequently, traditional valuation metrics like the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio and the Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) ratio are not meaningful indicators of value at this stage and are omitted from this analysis to avoid distorting the company's financial profile.
To evaluate Blend's fair value, investors must turn to sales-based and enterprise value metrics. Blend Labs currently trades at a TTM Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of approximately 3.24 (with some data sources citing a TTM P/S of 3.43). For an application software company growing its revenue at a double-digit pace (15.21% YoY in Q1 2026) and holding a dominant market position in digital mortgage tech, a P/S ratio in the low-3x range represents an attractive entry point. This valuation is particularly compelling when considering that the stock has suffered a 1-year price decline of -53.41%, trading at a highly accessible share price of approximately $1.71 with a modest market capitalization of roughly $414 million. This steep decline reflects the severe mortgage market downturn rather than a fundamental failure of Blend's technology, suggesting that the current price may not fully reflect the recovery potential.
On an Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) basis, the company's TTM ratio stands at a high 128.10. This elevated multiple reflects the fact that Blend's EBITDA is only recently approaching break-even territory. While this high EV/EBITDA multiple indicates that the stock is not "cheap" on a current cash-flow basis, it is a lagging indicator that does not capture the operating leverage inherent in Blend's SaaS model. As transaction volumes recover and high-margin AI products like Autopilot gain commercial traction, EBITDA is expected to expand rapidly, which should quickly compress this multiple. Compared to its peers in the application software and fintech sectors, Blend's valuation looks fair to undervalued for long-term investors who believe in a housing market recovery and the secular trend of AI-driven banking automation.
Analyst Estimates and Ratings 📊
Despite the stock's challenging price action over the past year, Wall Street analysts maintain a highly constructive outlook on Blend Labs, recognizing its deep competitive moat and technological leadership.
Consensus Rating: Buy (based on 3 Buy ratings, 2 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings over the last 6 months)
Price Target: Not explicitly detailed in the research packet, but the stock is heavily favored by the buy-side, with the most recent grade headline confirming a "Buy" stance.
Recent Street Action: Buy (with the stock being highlighted on June 13, 2026, as one of the top 5 stocks under $10 that Wall Street believes is primed for a significant upward run).
The consensus shows zero Sell ratings, reflecting a broad agreement among analysts that the downside is well-protected at these valuation levels, especially with the company's cash reserves and narrowing net losses. This newsletter specifically screens for stocks with strong, supportive buy-side action, and Blend's clean sheet of zero Sell ratings combined with recent "Buy" designations makes it a standout candidate in the micro-cap software space.
Investor-Focused Takeaway: Is BLND Right for Your Portfolio?
Blend Labs offers a classic high-beta, high-reward opportunity for growth-oriented investors. The core investment thesis rests on a dual catalyst: a cyclical recovery in the mortgage market driven by stabilizing interest rates, and a secular expansion into AI-driven consumer lending and SaaS automation. By reducing closing times for major lenders like CrossCountry Mortgage and integrating deeply with core fintech platforms like MeridianLink, Blend has proven that its software is sticky, essential, and highly effective. However, because its revenue model remains tied to transaction volumes, conservative investors should be mindful of the ongoing macroeconomic risks.
What to Watch in the Near Term: 📈
- Federal Reserve Monetary Policy & Mortgage Rate Stabilization: Any downward shift or stabilization in mortgage rates will serve as an immediate tailwind for transaction volumes.
- AI Autopilot Traction & Non-Mortgage Diversification: Watch for adoption metrics and contract wins for the newly launched Autopilot MCP Server and consumer banking suite.
- Q2 2026 Earnings Report: Scheduled in approximately 41 days, this report will provide critical updates on whether the revenue growth momentum and loss-narrowing trends are sustaining.
- Fintech Sector Consolidation: Keep an eye on M&A rumors, as Blend's depressed valuation and strong technology stack make it a logical acquisition target for larger fintech or private equity players.
Recommendation:
For investors with a moderate-to-high risk tolerance and a multi-year time horizon, Blend Labs (NYSE: BLND) presents a compelling speculative buy. The stock's current price of $1.71 reflects the worst of the mortgage winter, leaving significant room for valuation expansion as interest rates stabilize and the company's AI-driven non-mortgage products scale. While the negative TTM P/E and net losses require careful monitoring, the company's 15.21% YoY revenue growth, narrowing losses, and strong analyst backing suggest that the risk-reward profile is heavily skewed to the upside. Investors should consider building a starter position, adding on dips ahead of the upcoming Q2 earnings catalyst.
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Repay Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ: RPAY) is a specialized financial technology company that operates as a leading provider of vertically integrated payment processing solutions. With a market capitalization of approximately $375 million and a share price hovering around $4.26, the company occupies a unique niche within the systems software and information technology sectors. Repay focuses on providing electronic payment channels—such as credit and debit card processing, ACH transactions, and digital wallets—to industries that have historically been underserved by traditional payment processors. By embedding its proprietary technology directly into the enterprise resource planning (ERP) and dealer management systems of its clients, Repay has established a sticky, transaction-based business model. However, the company currently finds itself at a critical strategic crossroads, marked by aggressive debt-financed acquisitions, pioneering technological ventures into stablecoin payments, and escalating pressure from activist shareholders.
Business Model and Revenue Streams 📦
Repay Holdings Corporation operates a transaction-heavy business model designed to capture recurring revenue from every payment processed through its proprietary platform. Unlike generic payment processors that target broad retail or e-commerce merchant accounts, Repay focuses on specific, high-volume verticals. These target industries include personal loans, automotive finance, credit unions, receivables management, healthcare, and business-to-business (B2B) transactions. By deeply integrating its software into the core operating systems of these businesses, Repay makes it highly inconvenient for clients to switch processors. This integration allows merchants to offer their end-consumers convenient payment methods, such as web portals, mobile applications, text-to-pay, and interactive voice response (IVR) systems.
The primary engine of Repay's revenue is transaction-based fees. Every time a consumer makes a loan payment, pays an auto bill, or settles a B2B invoice through Repay's platform, the company collects a fee. This fee is typically structured as either a percentage of the total transaction volume, a flat fee per transaction, or a combination of both. In addition to these processing fees, Repay generates secondary revenue streams through software integration fees, implementation charges, and monthly recurring SaaS-style fees for access to its advanced reporting and analytics portals. This multi-layered revenue structure provides a degree of stability, as debt repayment and bill settlement activities tend to persist even during periods of broader economic volatility.
However, the macroeconomic environment plays a pivotal role in shaping Repay's operational performance and volume growth. The prevailing high interest rate environment and tight monetary policies implemented by central banks present a double-edged sword for the company. On one hand, elevated interest rates and inflationary pressures strain consumer wallets, leading to heightened credit risk and potential defaults within Repay's core automotive and personal loan verticals. If consumers default on their loans, the volume of repayment transactions declines, directly impacting Repay's fee-generation capabilities. This dynamic was highlighted by a heightened macro and credit risk event observed in mid-April 2026, which underscored the sensitivity of Repay's transactional volume to consumer credit health.
On the other hand, macroeconomic headwinds can drive demand for Repay's automation and systems software. As businesses face rising labor costs and compressed margins, they increasingly turn to automated payment solutions to streamline operations and reduce administrative overhead. Furthermore, Repay's classification within the "Top AI stocks" cohort stems from its ongoing integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning within its payment systems software. The company leverages AI to optimize transaction routing, minimize processing costs, detect fraudulent activities in real-time, and automate complex reconciliation processes for its B2B clients. Consequently, while macroeconomic tightening poses a threat to consumer transaction volumes, it simultaneously acts as a powerful catalyst for B2B software adoption and operational efficiency drives.
Recent Performance and Corporate Developments 📈
Q1 2026 Financial Highlights: 💰
- Revenue: For the latest reported quarter ended March 31, 2026, Repay reported revenue of $80,794,000, representing a modest Year-over-Year (YoY) growth rate of 4.49%.
- Net Loss: The company recorded a net loss of $9,940,000 for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, reflecting ongoing margin pressures and elevated integration costs.
- Earnings Per Share (EPS): Repay reported an EPS of -$0.12 for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, highlighting the current lack of GAAP profitability.
Strategic Initiatives and Mergers: 🤝
The corporate landscape for Repay has been exceptionally active, characterized by transformative mergers and acquisitions alongside intense corporate governance battles. The most significant recent milestone was the completion of the acquisition of KUBRA on June 1, 2026. KUBRA is a prominent provider of customer communication and payment solutions, and its integration into Repay's portfolio is expected to dramatically expand the company's footprint in the utility and government payment sectors. To fund this major transaction, Repay secured a massive $500 million term loan financing package on June 17, 2026. This direct lending transaction was led by Silver Point Capital, a global leader in credit investing. While this substantial financing highlights strong institutional backing and confidence in Repay's long-term business model, it also introduces a significant debt load that will require diligent cash flow management to service.
Simultaneously, Repay is facing intense scrutiny from its largest shareholder, Forager Capital Management. The relationship between Repay's management and Forager has grown increasingly contentious. On June 15, 2026, Forager publicly highlighted that Repay's directors received less shareholder support at the annual meeting than almost any other director group in corporate America, despite running unopposed. This governance friction culminated on June 29, 2026, when Repay confirmed it had received a revised unsolicited, non-binding acquisition proposal from Forager Capital Management to take the company private. This ongoing activist situation has triggered a formal strategic review process, with a highly anticipated activist investor and strategic review update scheduled as a major catalyst on July 15, 2026.
On the technological front, Repay continues to innovate to maintain its competitive edge in the systems software space. On June 18, 2026, the company announced the successful completion of a proof of concept demonstrating stablecoin payment capabilities on its platform. This initiative allows Repay to facilitate blockchain-based settlements, potentially lowering transaction fees and accelerating settlement times for merchants. To ensure leadership stability during this period of transformation, Repay also announced key inducement award grants, including grants for Rick Watkin on June 3, 2026, and Matt Morrow on May 14, 2026, aimed at retaining top-tier executive talent.
Profitability and Fair Value 🎯
An analysis of Repay's profitability reveals a business that is currently prioritizing scale, technological integration, and market expansion over immediate GAAP net income. For the latest reported quarter ended March 31, 2026, the company generated a net loss of $9,940,000. This lack of profitability is reflected in its negative trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio, which stands at -1.39. Because of this negative P/E ratio, traditional valuation metrics such as the Price-to-Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) ratio are omitted, as they cannot provide a meaningful positive reading for a loss-making enterprise. Similarly, the company's trailing twelve months EV/EBITDA is also negative, which prevents us from using standard EBITDA multiples to justify its valuation.
Despite these near-term profitability hurdles, Repay's valuation looks highly compelling when analyzed through a sales-multiplier lens. The company's trailing twelve months Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is approximately 1.20 (with FMP valuation citing 1.18). For a systems software and payment technology company generating over $320 million in annualized revenue, a P/S ratio of just 1.2x represents a steep discount compared to its historical averages and industry peers. Typically, vertically integrated fintech firms command P/S multiples of 3x to 5x.
The current depressed valuation is a direct reflection of the market pricing in several risk factors: the high leverage associated with the new $500 million Silver Point term loan, the integration risks of the KUBRA acquisition, and the public friction with activist investor Forager Capital. However, if Repay can successfully integrate KUBRA, realize projected cost synergies, and leverage its new stablecoin and AI capabilities to boost transaction margins, the current share price of $4.26 could represent an attractive entry point for value-oriented investors. The low P/S ratio suggests that even modest improvements in operating margins could drive significant upward re-rating in the stock's price action.
Analyst Estimates and Ratings 📊
Consensus Rating: Hold / Buy (Balanced)
Price Target: Under Review (Given the active buyout proposal)
Wall Street analysts maintain a balanced but cautiously optimistic view on Repay Holdings Corporation. Over the past six months, the consensus rating stands at 3 Buy ratings and 3 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Buy ratings currently on the books. The latest street action has been characterized as Neutral, reflecting the complex crosscurrents of a low valuation offset by high debt and activist pressure.
It is important to note that this newsletter actively screens for stocks experiencing strong buy-side interest and value recognition. Recently, major financial research platforms, including Zacks Investment Research in mid-to-late May 2026, have highlighted Repay as a potential candidate for value investors, focusing on its low valuation multiples relative to its underlying sales generation. The upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release, scheduled as a major catalyst in 38 days, will be crucial for analysts to update their models, particularly as it will provide the first look at the post-merger integration of KUBRA and the initial financial impact of the $500 million term loan.
Investor-Focused Takeaway: Is RPAY Right for Your Portfolio?
What to Watch in the Near Term: 📈
- The Activist Battle and Buyout Proposal: The July 15, 2026 Activist Investor & Strategic Review Update will be a critical event. Investors must watch for any updates regarding Forager Capital Management's revised unsolicited, non-binding proposal to acquire the company.
- KUBRA Integration and Debt Service: Monitoring how quickly Repay can integrate KUBRA's utility payment business and whether the combined entity can generate sufficient cash flow to comfortably service the interest on the $500 million Silver Point term loan.
- Q2 2026 Earnings Release: Scheduled in 38 days, this release will reveal whether the 4.49% revenue growth rate observed in the quarter ended March 31, 2026, is beginning to accelerate.
- Commercialization of Stablecoin Payments: Tracking whether the successful June 2026 proof of concept transitions into a revenue-generating product that attracts cost-conscious merchants.
Recommendation:
Repay Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ: RPAY) presents a classic high-risk, high-reward scenario that is best suited for patient, value-oriented investors or event-driven traders. On the negative side, the company is currently unprofitable, carrying a substantial new debt load of $500 million, and dealing with a highly public and contentious relationship with its largest shareholder. These factors explain why the stock has experienced an 11.62% decline over the past year and trades at a depressed P/S ratio of 1.20.
On the positive side, Repay possesses a highly defensive, vertically integrated business model with sticky recurring revenues, a massive new growth catalyst in KUBRA, and cutting-edge technological initiatives in AI and stablecoin payments. Furthermore, the unsolicited buyout proposal from Forager Capital Management provides a strong valuation floor, suggesting that institutional players see significant intrinsic value at these price levels. For investors willing to tolerate the volatility of an active strategic review and a leveraged balance sheet, RPAY represents a compelling speculative buy with multiple paths to unlocking shareholder value.
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Final Take: The Software and Payment Engines Modernizing Financial Infrastructure
The software revolution isn't just happening in frontier AI labs—it is actively rebuilding the transaction-heavy, legacy-bound financial sector. Modernizing this industry requires two distinct layers: intelligent application software to automate complex workflows, and integrated payment technology to process transactions securely.
That is where Blend Labs (BLND) and Repay Holdings (RPAY) provide critical, specialized infrastructure.
📱 Blend Labs (BLND) — The Cloud-Based Engine for Digital Lending
✔ High-margin application software automating complex, paper-heavy mortgage and consumer banking originations
✔ Deep enterprise integration with blue-chip banks, credit unions, and independent lenders
✔ Significant operational leverage as financial institutions modernize legacy core systems with AI and automation
➤ Best for: Investors seeking a pure-play SaaS provider driving workflow automation and digital transformation in consumer finance.
💳 Repay Holdings (RPAY) — Embedded Payment Technology for Underserved Verticals
✔ Proprietary payment technology embedded directly into client ERP and dealer management software
✔ Highly defensive, transaction-based revenue model spanning card processing, ACH, and digital wallets
✔ Strong footprint in institutional and B2B markets historically underserved by traditional processors
➤ Best for: Investors looking for a specialized payment processing play with sticky transaction volume and deep enterprise integration.
Investor Insight
🧩 Want high-moat digital lending automation with enterprise SaaS lock-in? → BLND
⚙️ Want embedded, transaction-based payment processing integrated into enterprise software? → RPAY
Bottom Line:
Financial modernization requires both front-end intelligence and back-end execution. Blend Labs provides the AI-powered application layer that makes lending seamless, while Repay Holdings delivers the embedded payment processing that keeps transaction revenue flowing.
As financial institutions phase out legacy systems, these providers aren't just operating in the space—they are building the infrastructure that makes modern transactions possible.
Research and education only. Not investment advice. Do your own research.
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Important: This newsletter does not provide investment advice. The stocks mentioned should not be taken as recommendations. Your investments are solely your decisions. Disclosure: We hold no positions in any companies mentioned, either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. We wrote this article ourself, and it expresses our own opinions. We have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. |
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