Top 2 Outdoor Stocks to Watch Before Q4 Earnings


Issue #28

One global premium powerhouse. One deep-value turnaround play. Both could climb higher than you think.

The outdoor gear market is shifting fast—from premium lifestyle brands that dominate global shelves to niche players fighting for a turnaround. Inflation, tariffs, and changing consumer habits have separated the winners from those just trying to stay on the trail.

As we head into the final stretch of 2025, investors are asking one question: is it better to back proven profit machines or bold comeback stories?

👉 Want a globally recognized premium brand trading at half its fair value? (YETI)
👉 Or a deep-value outdoor turnaround with brand equity and rebound potential? (CLAR)
👉 Maybe both—a mix of steady profitability and speculative upside?

In this edition, we break down two distinct outdoor stories—YETI’s disciplined global expansion versus Clarus’s comeback strategy—and what their Q4 earnings could mean for investors.


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YETI Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YETI)

YETI Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: YETI) is a global designer and retailer of premium outdoor products, best known for its high-end coolers, drinkware, and gear. The company has built a strong lifestyle brand around durability and performance, allowing it to maintain premium pricing in the competitive consumer discretionary market.

Business Model and Revenue Streams 📦

YETI operates through two key channels:

  • Direct-to-Consumer (DTC): Accounts for over 50% of sales through its website and branded stores. This channel offers higher margins, better pricing control, and stronger customer engagement through customization.
  • Wholesale: Involves sales to specialty, hardware, and sporting goods retailers. Though lower-margin, it expands YETI’s reach and visibility.

Macroeconomic Impact 🌍

YETI’s performance is tied to consumer spending trends:

  • Inflation & Rates: Rising prices and interest rates weigh on demand for premium, non-essential goods, softening U.S. sales.
  • Tariffs & Supply Chain: Heavy reliance on global manufacturing exposes YETI to tariff costs and shipping risks, though diversification efforts are underway.
  • Consumer Confidence: Sales correlate with consumer sentiment; during downturns, promotional activity increases, pressuring margins.

Recent Performance and Corporate Developments 📈

YETI's recent performance has been mixed, characterized by strong international growth and margin protection, offset by softness in the U.S. market, particularly in Drinkware.

Recent Financial Highlights (Q2 2025) 💰

  • Net Sales: Decreased $\downarrow 4\%$ overall, totaling $445.9 million, reflecting a promotional market and inventory constraints due to a supply chain transition.
  • U.S. vs. International: U.S. sales decreased $\downarrow 5\%$. This was partially offset by International sales, which rose $\uparrow 2\%$, reflecting robust growth in Europe and the launch in Japan.
  • Channel Performance: DTC sales decreased slightly by $\downarrow 1\%$, while the Wholesale channel decreased $\downarrow 7\%$, suggesting retailers are managing inventory cautiously.
  • Gross Margin: Increased by 80 basis points to $57.8\%$, driven primarily by lower product costs and selective price increases, partially offsetting the impact of higher tariffs.
  • Adjusted EPS: Decreased $\downarrow 6\%$ to $0.66, inclusive of a $$$0.07 net impact from higher tariff costs.

Key Corporate Developments and Mergers 🤝

  • Share Repurchase: YETI bought back 0.7M shares for $23M in Q2 2025 and set a $200M full-year target, showing strong confidence in its value and balance sheet.
  • Product Innovation & M&A: In August 2025, YETI acquired shaker bottle assets for $38M, expanding beyond its core coolers and drinkware.
  • Strategic Focus: Management remains focused on innovation, global expansion (Europe & Asia), and supply chain diversification.

Path to Profitability and Fair Value 🎯

YETI is a consistently profitable company. Its path to accelerated earnings growth is predicated on two main levers: International Expansion and Gross Margin Protection.

  • International Scale: The success of the international business, which is currently a small but fast-growing portion of sales, is crucial for diversifying revenue away from a mature and competitive U.S. market.
  • Supply Chain & Cost Management: Sustained margin improvement relies on fully completing the supply chain transition and mitigating elevated tariff costs.
  • Valuation Metrics: YETI currently trades at a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio around 16x, which is well below the industry average. A discounted cash flow (DCF) model suggests an intrinsic value significantly higher than the current share price, implying the stock is undervalued by over $50\%$ based on future cash flow projections.

Analyst Estimates and Ratings:

  • Consensus Rating: The overall consensus rating is a "Buy", with analysts polled in the last quarter maintaining a mix of Buy and Hold ratings, but zero Sell ratings.
  • Price Target: The average 12-month price target is approximately $37.67, suggesting a modest potential upside of around $4\%$ from the current price. Notably, the high-end analyst target is a bullish $70.00, indicating a wide range of future expectations tied to international execution and macro recovery.

Investor-Focused Takeaway: Is YETI a Buy?

YETI (YETI) is a rare case where a strong brand with high profitability is trading at a relatively low P/E ratio for a consumer growth company. The stock is currently being held back by temporary macro headwinds: soft U.S. consumer demand, high tariffs, and inventory caution from wholesale partners.

The investment thesis rests on the company’s ability to execute its international expansion strategy (Europe and Asia) while its DTC channel maintains brand loyalty and margin defense against competitors. The aggressive share repurchase target further indicates management's view that the stock is cheap.

What to Watch in the Near Term:

  • Q3/Q4 Earnings: Monitor the upcoming Q3 results (due November 6, 2025) for signs of U.S. Drinkware stabilization and continued margin improvement from lower product costs.
  • International Growth Rate: Look for the international segment to sustain high double-digit growth to become a meaningful offset to U.S. weakness.
  • Supply Chain Resolution: Confirmation that the supply chain transition is complete and tariff impacts are stabilizing would remove a key headwind.

Recommendation:

YETI is a quality, profitable company currently experiencing cyclical pressure. For long-term investors, the stock presents a compelling opportunity, trading at a discount to its estimated intrinsic value. It is a Buy for those with a multi-year horizon, betting on global growth and a favorable consumer cycle rebound.


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Clarus Corporation (NASDAQ:CLAR)

Clarus Corporation (NASDAQ: CLAR) is a holding company of premium outdoor and adventure brands targeting serious outdoor enthusiasts. Its flagship brand Black Diamond Equipment focuses on climbing and skiing gear, while the Adventure segment (Rhino-Rack, MAXTRAX) serves the fast-growing overlanding and vehicle accessories market. As a micro-cap, Clarus faces notable operational challenges.

Business Model and Revenue Streams 📦

Clarus operates through two main segments after divesting Sierra Bullets and PIEPS:

  • Outdoor (Black Diamond): Generates revenue from climbing, snow safety, and performance gear.
  • Adventure (Rhino-Rack, MAXTRAX): Focuses on roof racks, recovery gear, and overlanding accessories. Revenue comes from wholesale, DTC, and OEM channels. The company is simplifying its product lineup to emphasize higher-margin, faster-moving items.

Macroeconomic Impact 🌍

  • Consumer Weakness: Lower discretionary spending has pressured sales and margins, particularly in North America.
  • Trade & Tariffs: Management withdrew full-year guidance citing uncertainty from U.S. trade policies and new tariffs.
  • Commodity Costs: Volatile prices for metals and polymers continue to weigh on production costs.

Recent Performance and Corporate Developments 📈

Clarus is in the midst of a challenging transition period, marked by portfolio streamlining and a focus on cost reduction to counter declining sales.

Recent Financial Highlights (Q2 2025) 💰

  • Total Revenue: $55.2 million, a slight $\downarrow 2.2\%$ year-over-year decline (YoY). While revenue beat analyst estimates, the underlying trend remains negative.
  • Segment Performance: The Outdoor segment saw modest revenue growth of $\uparrow 1\%$, benefiting from product simplification efforts. However, the Adventure segment saw revenue fall $\downarrow 8\%$ due to soft demand from global OEM customers and a challenging wholesale market in Australia.
  • Adjusted EPS: Reported an adjusted loss of ($0.03) per share, missing analyst consensus.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: Fell to a loss of ($2.1 million), reflecting operational challenges and aggressive promotional activity that strained margins.
  • Balance Sheet: Ended the quarter with minimal debt ($1.9 million) and $28.5 million in cash, reflecting a relatively debt-light structure.

Key Corporate Developments and Mergers 🤝

  • PIEPS Divestiture: Sold its snow safety brand in July 2025 for €7.8M ($9.1M) to sharpen focus on core categories — Black Diamond and Adventure.
  • Leadership Transition: Recent management changes aim to strengthen strategic and operational execution.
  • Cost & Inventory Controls: Ongoing efforts to cut SG&A expenses and reduce excess inventory to boost efficiency, though margins remain temporarily pressured.

Path to Profitability and Fair Value 🎯

Clarus is not currently profitable from continuing operations. Its primary path back to sustained profitability relies on four key factors:

  • Completed Simplification: Successfully finishing the SKU rationalization and inventory clearance process (including PFAS inventory) to stabilize and improve gross margins.
  • Adventure Segment Recovery: Ramping up growth and profitability in the Adventure segment (Rhino-Rack), particularly in North American wholesale and international markets.
  • Tariff Mitigation: Executing countermeasures to offset the significant cost headwind from U.S. global trade policies.
  • Disciplined Capital Allocation: Leveraging the cash generated from asset sales to invest in core product innovation and market penetration.
  • Valuation Metrics: Based on forward P/E, the stock trades around 23.1x, which is relatively high given its current unprofitability. However, other valuation multiples often used for turn-around situations suggest a deep discount:
    • Price-to-Book (P/B): The stock trades well below its industry peers.

Analyst Estimates and Ratings:

  • Consensus Rating: Analysts maintain a "Buy" consensus rating, with one firm recently issuing a "Buy" rating.
  • Price Target: The average 12-month price target is approximately $4.25, suggesting a potential upside from the current price of around $3.50. The high-end target is notably bullish at $7.35.

Investor-Focused Takeaway: Is CLAR a Buy?

Clarus (CLAR) is a deep value/turnaround play. It owns strong, respected technical brands like Black Diamond, giving it significant brand equity. However, the company faces immediate and serious operational challenges: declining sales, persistent losses, and significant tariff headwinds.

The investment risk is high, as the stock’s performance hinges entirely on management's ability to execute its multi-year strategy of simplification and cost control while reigniting growth in the highly cyclical consumer discretionary sector. The recent sale of non-core assets provides cash for this transition.

What to Watch in the Near Term:

  • Q3 Earnings Call (November 6, 2025): This will be crucial. Investors need to hear clear guidance and evidence that the simplification efforts are translating into improving gross margins and a clearer path to profitability.
  • Adventure Segment Performance: Look for stabilization and growth in Rhino-Rack sales, as this segment represents a major growth opportunity.
  • Cash Flow: Monitor cash burn. Positive free cash flow will be necessary to fund the transition without relying on debt.

Recommendation:

Clarus is currently for speculative investors with a high-risk tolerance who believe in the long-term potential of the Black Diamond and Rhino-Rack brands. Its discounted share price reflects the severe risk of the ongoing business transition. It is a Highly Speculative Buy only if you are confident in management's turnaround plan over the next 18-24 months.


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🏕 Final Take: Two Outdoor Stocks—One Profitable Premium Brand, One Deep Value Turnaround

In the volatile consumer discretionary space, YETI Holdings (YETI) and Clarus Corporation (CLAR) offer very different investment profiles. One is a premium lifestyle brand defending margins through global expansion; the other, a micro-cap brand house working through a challenging turnaround with deep value upside.

🧊 YETI (YETI) – The Global Premium Outdoor Brand
✔ Consistently profitable with 57.8% gross margins and strong brand equity
✔ Expanding globally (Europe, Japan), offsetting soft U.S. demand
✔ Trading at just ~16x P/E—well below industry peers
Best for: Long-term investors seeking quality exposure to outdoor lifestyle with global tailwinds and margin recovery potential.

🧗 Clarus (CLAR) – The Technical Brand Turnaround Bet
✔ Black Diamond and Rhino-Rack remain valuable, category-defining brands
✔ Divested non-core assets to focus and shore up cash
✔ Analysts see over 20%+ upside—but execution risk remains high
Best for: High-risk, high-reward investors betting on operational turnaround and margin recovery from a deeply discounted base.

Investor Insight:
🎒 Want a profitable, undervalued global brand with share buybacks and international expansion? → YETI
🧭 Looking for a micro-cap rebound story with iconic outdoor brands and cost-cutting catalysts? → CLAR

We’ll be back with our next report soon, bringing you fresh insights on the market and new opportunities to watch. In the meantime, we’d love to hear from you—let us know how you found this report, what niche sectors you’d like us to cover next, and don’t forget to share your top stock holdings with us. Your feedback helps us deliver reports that matter most to your investing journey.


Happy Trading
— Team Premium Stock Alerts

Important: This newsletter does not provide investment advice. The stocks mentioned should not be taken as recommendations. Your investments are solely your decisions.

Disclosure: We hold no positions in any companies mentioned, either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. We wrote this article ourself, and it expresses our own opinions. We have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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