🔋 Inside the EV Charging Shakeup: Which Stock Stands Strongest?


Issue #16

The Next Big EV Bet: Stable Growth or High-Risk Turnaround?

​​The U.S. EV charging industry is at a pivotal moment—scaling rapidly with federal support while companies race to prove their models can deliver sustainable profitability. For investors, this means opportunities across very different strategies:

EVgo (NASDAQ: EVGO): A fast-growing charging network operator with record revenue, expanding partnerships, and a near-term path to breakeven.

Blink Charging (NASDAQ: BLNK): A restructuring turnaround play, shifting from hardware-heavy sales to higher-margin services while cutting costs and improving efficiency.

Both companies are critical players in the EV charging ecosystem, but their growth drivers, risks, and investor profiles take sharply different shapes.


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EVgo (NASDAQ:EVGO)

EVgo (NASDAQ: EVGO) is a leading provider of electric vehicle (EV) charging solutions, with a focus on building and operating a nationwide network of fast-charging stations. The company's strategy centers on providing a convenient and reliable charging experience for EV drivers, while also catering to commercial fleets and business partners.

Business Model and Revenue Streams 🔌

EVgo's business model is built on monetizing its network of DC fast chargers and expanding its reach through strategic partnerships. Its primary revenue streams include:

  • Charging Fees: The most straightforward revenue source, where EV drivers pay for the electricity consumed during a charging session. Pricing can vary based on factors like charging speed, location, and whether the customer has a membership.
  • Membership and Subscription Plans: EVgo offers subscription-based services that provide discounted charging rates and other benefits to its members, creating a source of predictable, recurring revenue.
  • Partnerships and Collaborations: The company partners with automakers (OEMs) like General Motors and Nissan to offer charging credits to their new EV owners. It also collaborates with retailers and property owners to install charging stations, often through revenue-sharing agreements.
  • Fleet Services: A growing segment of the business, EVgo provides tailored charging solutions for commercial and government fleets, including dedicated charging hubs and fleet management software. This is done through its EVgo eXtend program.
  • Government Incentives and Grants: EVgo benefits from federal and state programs, such as the National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure (NEVI) Formula Program, which provide funding for the development and expansion of EV charging infrastructure.

Current macroeconomic policies significantly impact EVgo. The recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are a positive tailwind, as they reduce the company's borrowing costs for network expansion. Furthermore, government policies and incentives aimed at accelerating EV adoption and infrastructure buildout, like the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), are crucial for EVgo's growth. These policies provide subsidies and funding that help offset the high capital expenditure required to build and maintain charging stations.

Recent Performance and Corporate Developments 📈

EVgo has been demonstrating strong operational and financial momentum in recent quarters. The company's recent performance highlights a clear trajectory toward profitability.

Q2 2025 Financial Highlights: 💰

  • Record Revenue: EVgo reported a record total revenue of $98.0 million, marking a significant 47% increase year-over-year. This was driven by a record in charging network revenue, which grew 46% year-over-year.
  • Improved Profitability: The company's focus on operational efficiency is paying off, with a net loss of $13.0 million, a substantial improvement from the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to -$1.9 million, a major step toward its goal of breakeven.
  • Network Growth: Network throughput, a key metric representing the amount of energy sold, reached 88 gigawatt-hours (GWh), up 35% year-over-year. The company added over 240 new stalls in the quarter, bringing its total operational stalls to 4,350.

Strategic Initiatives: 🤝

  • New Debt Facility: In July 2025, EVgo secured a new commercial bank loan facility of up to $300 million. This financing is a significant development as it will accelerate the buildout of over 1,500 new fast-charging stalls and fortify the company's balance sheet, reducing its reliance on equity financing.
  • Expansion through Partnerships: EVgo continues to expand its network through key partnerships, including a joint venture with Pilot and General Motors. This collaboration aims to install fast-charging stations at Pilot and Flying J travel centers, connecting major national travel corridors.

Path to Profitability and Fair Value 🎯

EVgo's path to profitability is clear and is centered on achieving scale and operational efficiency. The company is actively working to increase network utilization, as a greater number of charging sessions on each station will improve margins and drive profitability. The goal of reaching adjusted EBITDA breakeven for the full year 2025 is a key milestone for the company and is well within reach, based on its Q2 performance.

Assessing the fair value of a high-growth company like EVgo is challenging using traditional metrics like P/E ratios due to its current unprofitability. However, its value lies in its strong position in a growing market. The company's enterprise value-to-revenue ratio of 4.1x is a better metric for comparison.

Analyst Estimates and Ratings

Analyst sentiment for EVgo is overwhelmingly positive. According to recent data from a consensus of analysts, EVgo has received a "Strong Buy" rating. The average 12-month price target is approximately $6.34, with a significant potential upside from its current share price. This indicates that analysts believe the company's current stock price is undervalued and has substantial room for growth as it executes its strategy and moves closer to profitability.

Investor-Focused Takeaway: Is EVGO Right for Your Portfolio?

EVgo offers a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the high-growth EV charging market. The company's strong Q2 2025 results and strategic initiatives, like the new debt facility, show a clear path to profitability and reduced financial risk. While it's not yet consistently profitable, the improving EBITDA and solid growth in revenue and network utilization suggest a positive trend. Its valuation reflects the immense potential of the EV sector and the company's leading position within it.

What to Watch in the Near Term: 📈

  • Profitability Metrics: Keep a close eye on the company's progress toward achieving sustained positive adjusted EBITDA.
  • Network Utilization: Monitor the utilization rate of its charging stations, as this is a key driver of profitability.
  • Infrastructure Rollout: Follow the speed and efficiency of the new charging stall deployments, especially those funded by the recent loan facility and government grants.

Recommendation:

EVGO is a strong long-term investment, backed by a favorable macroeconomic environment, robust analyst support, and a well-defined strategy for growth and profitability. Its strategic partnerships and focus on high-power fast charging position it well to capitalize on the increasing adoption of electric vehicles.


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Blink Charging Co. (NASDAQ:BLNK)

Blink Charging Co. (NASDAQ: BLNK) is a leading provider of EV charging equipment and networked services. The company's comprehensive ecosystem includes hardware, software, and services, allowing it to serve a diverse range of customers from individual EV drivers to commercial property owners and fleets. Blink's strategy is to grow its network through various business models, including direct sales, charging as a service (CaaS), and strategic partnerships.

Business Model and Revenue Streams 📦

Blink Charging operates with a hybrid business model that combines hardware sales with recurring service revenue. This allows the company to capitalize on the initial demand for charging infrastructure while building a stable base of predictable revenue.

  • Product Sales: This is a primary revenue source, generated from the sale of EV charging equipment, including Level 2 (L2) chargers and DC fast chargers. The company has recently focused on selling its own higher-margin, domestically manufactured L2 chargers.
  • Service Revenue: This is a crucial and growing component of Blink's business. It includes fees for charging services, recurring network fees, and revenue from its car-sharing services. As the number of chargers on its network grows and utilization increases, this segment becomes a more significant driver of revenue and profitability.
  • Other Revenues: This category includes grants, rebates, and warranty fees. These sources are important for funding network expansion and contributing to the company's top line.

Macroeconomic policies have a dual impact on Blink. On one hand, government initiatives like the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure (NEVI) program are major tailwinds. These programs provide substantial funding and incentives for the deployment of EV charging infrastructure, which directly benefits Blink through grants and subsidies. On the other hand, the company faces challenges from the broader economic environment. While the EV market continues to grow, a slowdown in consumer spending or tighter corporate budgets could impact the demand for product sales. However, the company's focus on cost control and high-margin L2 chargers helps mitigate some of these risks.

Recent Performance and Corporate Developments 📈

Blink Charging has made notable progress in recent quarters, particularly in improving its operational efficiency and strategic focus.

Q2 2025 Financial Highlights: 💰

  • Revenue Beat, but a Decline: Blink reported consolidated revenues of $28.7 million, which sequentially grew 38% from Q1 2025 and beat analyst estimates. However, this represented a 14% year-over-year decline, primarily due to a 39% drop in product sales. This decline was partially offset by a 46% year-over-year increase in high-margin service revenue.
  • Improved Efficiency: The company has made significant strides in expense management, reducing annualized operating expenses by approximately $8 million. This cost-cutting, combined with a focus on higher-margin products, is central to its path to profitability.
  • Net Loss: Blink reported a net loss of $32 million, a result of both ongoing operational expenses and one-time, non-cash charges of $16.5 million.

Strategic Initiatives and Mergers: 🤝

  • Zemetric Acquisition: Subsequent to the second quarter, Blink acquired Zemetric, Inc., a company specializing in tailored charging solutions for fleets and commercial applications. This acquisition enhances Blink's technology and market position, particularly in the growing fleet and multi-family segments.
  • Envoy Settlement: The company also reached an agreement with the former shareholders of its subsidiary, Envoy Technologies, to settle all remaining payment obligations in exchange for stock and performance-based warrants. This move resolves a significant liability and strengthens the balance sheet.
  • Nasdaq Compliance: In recent news, Blink successfully regained compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements, which is a positive signal for investors.

Path to Profitability and Fair Value 🎯

Blink's path to profitability is defined by a shift from a product-heavy business to a model with a greater emphasis on high-margin service revenue. The company is focused on increasing network utilization and leveraging its domestically manufactured L2 chargers to improve overall gross margins. Management has stated a goal to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA in the second half of 2025, which is a critical near-term milestone.

From a valuation perspective, traditional metrics like the P/E ratio are not applicable as the company is not yet profitable. Instead, investors should focus on its ability to grow revenue, improve gross margins, and reduce cash burn. The recent reduction in operating expenses and the acquisition of a higher-margin business like Zemetric are positive indicators.

Analyst Estimates and Ratings

Analyst sentiment for Blink Charging is mixed but generally optimistic about its long-term potential. The consensus rating from analysts is a "BUY." The average 12-month price target is approximately $3.28, suggesting a significant upside from the current share price. Some analysts have recently upgraded their price targets, the overall consensus points to a belief in the company's ability to execute its strategy and improve its financial performance.

Investor-Focused Takeaway: Is BLNK Right for Your Portfolio?

Blink Charging is a high-growth, high-risk investment. The company is at a pivotal point, transitioning from a capital-intensive infrastructure buildout phase to a more profitable, service-oriented model. Its ability to grow high-margin service revenue while reining in costs is key to its success.

What to Watch in the Near Term: 📈

  • Margin Improvement: Monitor the gross margin, particularly in the service revenue segment, to track the company's profitability.
  • Operational Efficiency: Watch for a continued reduction in operating expenses and a shrinking net loss.
  • Network Utilization: An increase in the utilization of its charging stations will be a critical indicator of future revenue growth and profitability.

Recommendation:

Blink is a stock for investors with a higher risk tolerance who believe in the long-term growth of the EV infrastructure sector. While recent financial reports have shown some mixed signals, the company's strategic moves to cut costs, acquire a high-potential business, and settle liabilities position it for a stronger future. The significant upside suggested by analyst price targets reflects the potential for a rebound as the company's turnaround strategy takes hold.


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A Final Word on Your Investment Decision

EVgo (EVGO) and Blink Charging (BLNK) offer two contrasting but complementary approaches to investing in the U.S. EV charging buildout. Both companies are benefiting from federal incentives and rising EV adoption—but differ in business models, financial momentum, and risk-reward profiles.

EVgo (EVGO) – Scalable, High-Growth Fast-Charging Network
✔ Record $98M revenue in Q2 2025, up 47% YoY
✔ Strategic partnerships with GM, Pilot, and others accelerating nationwide buildout
✔ $300M new debt facility to support 1,500+ stall expansion
Best for: Long-term investors seeking exposure to a leading DC fast-charging operator with a near-term path to breakeven and strong policy tailwinds

Blink Charging (BLNK) – Turnaround Play with Service Revenue Focus
✔ Shift from hardware-heavy model to higher-margin recurring services
✔ Q2 2025 service revenue grew 46% YoY despite a drop in hardware sales
✔ Recent Zemetric acquisition and Envoy settlement de-risk operations
Best for: Risk-tolerant investors looking for turnaround potential in a capital-light model that’s restructuring toward sustainable growth

Investor Insight:

🔋 Want a high-visibility fast-charging leader close to profitability? → EVgo (EVGO)
🔧 Looking for a discounted turnaround story with upside from margin expansion? → Blink Charging (BLNK)

Your choice should reflect your investment horizon and comfort with execution risk. EVGO offers steady scaling with strategic support, while BLNK presents a bold bet on transformation and efficiency gains. Both are positioned to benefit from the EV revolution—but in very different ways.

We’ll be back with our next report soon, bringing you fresh insights on the market and new opportunities to watch. In the meantime, we’d love to hear from you—let us know how you found this report, what niche sectors you’d like us to cover next, and don’t forget to share your top stock holdings with us. Your feedback helps us deliver reports that matter most to your investing journey.


Happy Trading
— Team Premium Stock Alerts

Important: This newsletter does not provide investment advice. The stocks mentioned should not be taken as recommendations. Your investments are solely your decisions.

Disclosure: We hold no positions in any companies mentioned, either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. We wrote this article ourself, and it expresses our own opinions. We have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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