2 Fintech Winners You Can’t Ignore Right Now


Issue #28

From Wall Street’s trading floors to Africa’s mobile wallets, these companies are redefining the future of finance.

💸 As global markets shift gears, two fintech powerhouses are charting very different—but equally compelling—paths to growth. On one side, Interactive Brokers Group (NASDAQ: IBKR) is thriving in a high-rate world, turning client cash into record profits and redefining efficiency with AI-driven trading tools. On the other, DLocal Limited (NASDAQ: DLO) is capturing the digital payments boom across emerging markets, bridging global merchants with millions of new online consumers.

For investors, this isn’t just fintech—it’s a story of scale, innovation, and resilience in two corners of the financial world that rarely move together.

👉 Looking for a profitable fintech thriving on interest rate spreads and trading velocity?
👉 Prefer a high-growth emerging market play powering cross-border digital payments?
👉 Want exposure to financial technology that’s shaping the future of global capital and commerce?

In this edition, we break down two standout fintech leaders—one built on interest, the other on expansion—and what makes each a unique opportunity in 2025. Let’s dive in. 🚀—and what their next chapters mean for investors. Let’s dive in.—that are powering the AI infrastructure from inside the machine.


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Interactive Brokers (NASDAQ: IBKR)

Interactive Brokers Group (NASDAQ: IBKR) is a global electronic brokerage catering to professional investors, active traders, and institutions. Its edge lies in advanced trading technology that offers access to 160 global markets on one platform at ultra-low commissions—setting it apart from retail platforms like Robinhood with superior execution speed and product breadth.

Business Model and Revenue Streams 📦

IBKR runs a technology-driven, capital-efficient model with three primary income sources:

  • Net Interest Income (Core & Rate-Sensitive): The largest revenue driver, earned from the spread between customer margin loan rates and returns on client cash balances. High-rate environments have significantly boosted profits.
  • Commissions: Generated from trade execution across asset classes. This stream rises with market volatility and trading volume (DARTs).
  • Other Fees & Services: Includes income from market data, risk exposure, and the Stock Yield Enhancement Program, which lends client shares to earn additional returns.

Macroeconomic Impact

IBKR’s performance is closely tied to monetary policy and market conditions:

  • Interest Rates: Elevated rates have driven record net interest income. While the Fed’s recent cut (to 4.00–4.25%) may ease growth, IBKR actively manages cash and margin exposure to soften the effect.
  • Market Volatility: Turbulent periods drive higher trading volumes, supporting commission growth.
  • Client Confidence: Rising markets lift customer equity and assets under management, expanding IBKR’s interest-earning base and margin lending potential.

Recent Performance and Corporate Developments 📈

Interactive Brokers recently reported stellar Q3 2025 results, demonstrating continued strength across its key metrics despite broader economic caution.

Q3 Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Highlights: 💰

  • Net Revenues: Reported net revenues of $1.655 billion, significantly surpassing the year-ago quarter and beating analyst expectations.
  • Adjusted EPS: Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) was $0.57, beating the analyst consensus and showing strong growth from $0.40 in the prior-year quarter.
  • Net Interest Income: Increased by 21% year-over-year to $967 million, remaining the primary profit engine, driven by both high interest rates and a 39% jump in customer margin loans.
  • Commissions: Commission revenue surged 23% to $537 million due to a massive increase in customer trading volume, particularly in stocks (up 67%) and options (up 27%).
  • Client Growth & Engagement: Customer accounts grew 32% to 4.13 million, and total daily average revenue trades (DARTs) increased 34% to 3.62 million, confirming successful global client acquisition.

Strategic Initiatives and News: 🤝

  • AI Integration: In October 2025, IBKR launched Ask IBKR, an AI-powered tool offering instant portfolio insights and advanced analysis—underscoring its tech-driven client service.
  • Product Expansion: The firm added tax-planning tools and one-click order placement on its upgraded IBKR Desktop platform, enhancing appeal to active traders.
  • No Major M&A: Growth remains organic and technology-led, focused on platform improvement and global reach rather than acquisitions.

Path to Profitability and Fair Value 🎯

IBKR remains highly profitable, benefiting from high interest rates and strong operating leverage. Its model thrives on both volatility (higher commissions) and rates (stronger net interest income). Even as rate cuts begin, the impact is gradual. Automation drives exceptional efficiency, reflected in a 79% pretax margin in Q3 2025. International growth provides diversification beyond U.S. market cycles.
Valuation: Trading near 32× earnings, IBKR’s premium reflects superior margins, low credit risk, and record account growth. Analysts view it as fairly to slightly undervalued, supported by consistent earnings strength.

Analyst Estimates and Ratings 📊

Analyst consensus is highly optimistic following the blockbuster Q3 results, highlighting IBKR's dual-engine profitability.

  • Consensus Rating: The consensus is a strong "Buy", with 70% of analysts tracking the stock rating it a Strong Buy. This aligns with the requested pattern of receiving strong analyst buy ratings recently.
  • Price Target: The average 12-month price target is approximately $100.33, suggesting a moderate upside from its current trading price around $67. The high-end forecast reaches $130.00, indicating strong belief in its continued earnings power.

Investor-Focused Takeaway: Is IBKR Right for Your Portfolio?

Interactive Brokers (IBKR) is a high-quality, growth-oriented fintech company that acts as a barometer for global trading activity and is a prime beneficiary of the current interest rate environment. Its massive client account growth and industry-best operating efficiency make it a highly differentiated play in the brokerage sector.

What to Watch in the Near Term: 📈

  • DARTs Momentum: Monitor customer engagement and daily average trades, which are key to maintaining commission revenue in volatile markets.
  • Fed Policy & Rates: Keep a close eye on future Fed rate decisions. While a gradual easing is manageable, a rapid decline in rates could pressure the primary Net Interest Income stream.
  • Technology Rollout: Track the adoption and impact of new AI and advanced trading tools, which are vital for maintaining its competitive edge with professional clients.

Recommendation:

Interactive Brokers (IBKR) is a strong conviction Buy for investors seeking exposure to the global fintech and trading ecosystem. Its combination of technology leadership, high profitability, strong balance sheet, and favorable interest rate exposure provides a compelling and resilient investment case.


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DLocal Limited (NASDAQ:DLO)

DLocal Limited (NASDAQ: DLO) is a high-growth fintech company that serves as a vital cross-border payment platform. Its unique value proposition lies in the "One DLocal" concept: providing a single API, platform, and contract to enable global enterprise merchants (like Amazon, Uber, and Netflix) to accept payments, send payouts, and settle funds in local currencies across over 35 volatile, high-growth emerging markets in Latin America, Africa, and Asia.

Business Model and Revenue Streams 📦

DLocal's asset-light, technology-first model thrives on scaling its payment infrastructure across historically underserved economies. Its profitability is driven by transaction volume and foreign exchange expertise.

The core revenue streams are:

  1. Transaction Fees (Primary Driver): DLocal charges global merchants a transaction fee (or "take rate") based on the Total Payment Volume (TPV) processed. Revenue is directly proportional to the volume of e-commerce, software, and financial services transactions handled across its network.
  2. Foreign Exchange (FX) Conversion: The company generates revenue by facilitating currency conversion when settling cross-border transactions. This requires deep local expertise and real-time management of exchange rate volatility in multiple currencies.
  3. Value-Added Services: This includes services like regulatory compliance, risk management, and the processing of pay-outs (remittances and local bank transfers), which is a high-growth area, particularly in Africa.

Macroeconomic Impact

DLocal’s performance is closely tied to emerging market dynamics, making it more volatile than domestic payment processors:

  • Currency Instability (FX Risk): Major devaluations or exchange controls in markets like Argentina and Egypt can sharply affect revenue and profits. Though DLocal manages FX risks well, extreme volatility can distort year-over-year results.
  • Monetary Policy: Local interest rate hikes in emerging markets often slow economic activity and consumer spending, weighing on total payment volume (TPV).
  • Digitalization Trend (Tailwind): Long-term growth is supported by rapid digital adoption and expanding middle-class consumption, which continue to offset short-term macro challenges.

Recent Performance and Corporate Developments 📈

DLocal has demonstrated a strong rebound in 2025, consistently beating consensus expectations and showing successful execution despite ongoing emerging market volatility.

Q2 Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Highlights: 💰

  • Total Revenue: Reported revenue of $256.5 million, marking an impressive 49.7% increase year-over-year and beating analyst estimates.
  • Adjusted EPS: Achieved earnings per share (EPS) of $0.14, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.13.
  • TPV Growth: Total Payment Volume (TPV) continued its scorching growth, rising 53% year-over-year, confirming that its large merchants are rapidly expanding their use of the platform.
  • Profitability: DLocal maintains a stellar net margin of nearly 17% and a return on equity (ROE) of over 36%, demonstrating that its high-growth model is also highly profitable.
  • Balance Sheet: The company maintains a strong balance sheet with substantial cash reserves, crucial for managing the FX and regulatory complexity inherent in its markets.

Strategic Initiatives and News: 🤝

  • Goldman Sachs Upgrade: In October 2025, Goldman Sachs upgraded DLocal to Buy from Neutral and raised its target to $19, citing strong TPV growth and improving take rates.
  • Western Union Partnership: In September 2025, DLocal partnered with Western Union to enhance digital payments across Latin America, deepening its global reach.
  • Enterprise Expansion: The company is gaining share in higher-margin segments like pay-outs, remittances, and financial services, reducing reliance on e-commerce pay-ins.
  • No Major M&A: Growth remains organic, driven by platform development and tech scalability rather than acquisitions.

Path to Profitability and Fair Value 🎯

DLocal is a rarity among high-growth fintechs: it is already highly profitable. The company has been net income positive for years. The focus now is on margin preservation and maximizing volume leverage.

Path to Sustained Growth: DLocal’s long-term profitability is secured by:

  1. Operating Leverage: Its single-API model scales efficiently, meaning a surge in TPV requires minimal additional operational overhead once a market is integrated.
  2. Product Diversification: Growing pay-outs and remittances often offer more resilient margin profiles than highly competitive e-commerce pay-ins.

Fair Value Assessment: While DLocal has faced volatility due to emerging market currency issues and concerns over its take rate compression, the consensus view is that the stock is significantly undervalued. Trading at a P/E multiple that is competitive for a company growing revenue by nearly 50%, analysts see significant latent upside.

Analyst Estimates and Ratings 📊

  • Consensus Rating: The consensus is a "Moderate Buy" or "Buy" (ABR of 1.89), with 55.56% of analysts tracking the stock rating it a Strong Buy.
  • Price Target: The average 12-month price target is approximately $16.44, suggesting a moderate upside from its current trading price around $15. The high-end forecast reaches $19.00, indicating substantial room for appreciation if the emerging market economies remain stable.

Investor-Focused Takeaway: Is DLO Right for Your Portfolio?

DLocal (DLO) is a high-growth, high-profitability fintech that offers unique exposure to the secular growth of digital consumption in emerging markets. While the stock requires investors to accept the risks associated with volatile currencies and regulatory shifts in Latin America and Africa, the company's strong TPV growth, exceptional margins, and success in securing major global merchants make it a compelling bet on global digitization.

What to Watch in the Near Term: 📈

  • FX Stability: Monitor currency movements in key markets (like Argentina and Brazil), as stability is crucial for sustained margin quality.
  • TPV/Take Rate Balance: Watch the mix of TPV growth versus the accompanying impact on the take rate—DLocal must demonstrate TPV can grow while margins stabilize.
  • Q3 Earnings: The upcoming Q3 2025 earnings report on November 12 will be key to confirming the current momentum and raised guidance.

Recommendation:

DLocal (DLO) is a strong conviction “Buy” for growth-focused investors who are comfortable with emerging market risk. Its dominant niche position and superior unit economics, now coupled with renewed analyst confidence, position it as a potential market leader in the next phase of global e-commerce expansion.


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💼 Final Take: Fintech Powerhouses in Two Different Lanes

Whether you’re chasing rate-driven cash flow or borderless digital expansion, these two fintech leaders are quietly crushing expectations—and rewarding investors in the process.

📊 Interactive Brokers (IBKR) – The Interest Rate Cash Machine
✔ 79% pretax margin and $967M in net interest income
✔ AI-powered tools and 32% client growth YoY
✔ Deep global market access + ultra-low trading costs
Best for: Investors seeking a profitable, low-risk way to capitalize on high rates and increased trading velocity with institutional-grade tech.

🌍 DLocal (DLO) – The Payment Highway for Emerging Markets
✔ 50%+ TPV growth with 17% net margin
✔ Major wins in cross-border remittances and payouts
✔ Strong analyst upgrades + untapped emerging market upside
Best for: Growth investors comfortable with EM risk, looking for exposure to the digital transformation of global commerce.

Investor Insight:

💵 Want a fintech that thrives on higher rates and trading intensity? → IBKR
🌐 Want a high-growth platform connecting the next billion digital consumers? → DLO

We’ll be back with our next report soon, bringing you fresh insights on the market and new opportunities to watch. In the meantime, we’d love to hear from you—let us know how you found this report, what niche sectors you’d like us to cover next, and don’t forget to share your top stock holdings with us. Your feedback helps us deliver reports that matter most to your investing journey.


Happy Trading
— Team Premium Stock Alerts

Important: This newsletter does not provide investment advice. The stocks mentioned should not be taken as recommendations. Your investments are solely your decisions.

Disclosure: We hold no positions in any companies mentioned, either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. We wrote this article ourself, and it expresses our own opinions. We have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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